For many people, the future comes as a surprise – or even a shock. But with strong forecasting skills, YOU can avoid future shock. You can adapt faster, and become better prepared to benefit from change.
In this course, you’ll build your future forecasting skills. You’ll learn how to turn groups of “signals” (clues about the future) and “drivers” (global forces that influence the direction of change) into compelling future forecasts. Forecasts help you discover new possibilities and opportunities for yourself, your company, or any community you want to inspire to make a better future. You’ll also learn how to write future scenarios. Scenarios take forecasts one step further. They spark imagination and tell a story about what might happen if a forecast comes true. Scenarios help you evaluate: Is this a future I’m ready for? Is this a future I want? Leading futurists from the Institute for the Future will show you exactly how it’s done. They’ll share with you the forecasts and scenarios they’re most excited about right now, and walk you through the key steps they took to create them. Then, it’s your turn! You’ll create a forecast and a scenario on any future topic you choose. How will you benefit from taking this course? With strong forecasting skills, you’ll get better at seeing the future before it happens. You’ll be ready to consider possibilities that others never see coming or refuse to accept. You’ll be able to help others prepare for and adapt to the future. You can decide which futures you want to make more likely, and which futures you want to prevent. Many thanks to the Enlight Foundation and the Enlight Collaborative, which provided a grant to support the creation of this course.
What Will You Learn?
- Collect and Analyze SIGNALS OF CHANGE
- Identify and Analyze GLOBAL DRIVERS OF CHANGE
- Combine Signals and Drivers into FUTURE FORECASTS
- Write SCENARIOS that tell a story about your FUTURE FORECAST
Week 1: Introduction of Future Forecasting
1.1 Welcome to the Course-survey about the future!
1.2 Welcome the the course! Meet your professor Jane McGonigal(video)03:25
1.3 Strong Opinions, Lightly Held(video)06:32
1.4 Introduce yourself!
1.5 Forecasting Skills Brief: Your
Week 1: What’s a Future Forecast?
1.6 What’s a forecast?(video)10:35
1.7 Mini-Masterclass: Forecasting 101(video)10:10
1.8 Excerpt: Get There Early
1.9 Future Forecasting Essentials
Week 1: Drivers of Change
1.10 Skills Refresher: Signals of Change
1.11 Looking for Drivers(video)12:56
1.12 Play with a Driver! The Future of Smart Clothes and Accessories
1.13 More Global Drivers(video)04:56
1.14 Examples of Drivers: The World in 2030
Week 1: Example of a Driver: Blockchain
1.15 Driver Example: Blockchain!(video)02:29
1.16 Blockchain Futures
1.17 Blockchain basics
Week 1: How to Make a Quick Forecast on any Topic
1.18 How to Make a Quick Forecast on any Topic(video)09:18
1.19 The Coming Era of Autonomous Vehicles
1.20 Make a quick forecast about self-driving vehicles
Week 2: How to Create a Future Forecast
2.1 Combining Signals and Drivers into a Forecast (Part 1)(video)11:19
2.2 Combining Signals and Drivers into a Forecast (Part 2)(video)08:25
2.3 Which forecast would impact you the most?
Week 2: More Sample Forecasts
2.4 Wired World: Forecasts for 2020 and beyond
2.5 How would the Wired World forecast would change YOUR life?
Week 2: How to Reveal Unexpected Possibilities
2.6 How to Reveal Unexpected Possibilities (Part 1)(video)03:58
2.7 How to Reveal Unexpected Possibilities (Part 2)(video)09:54
2.8 What other unexpected possibilities can you reveal?
2.9 TOOL: Reveal Unexpected Possibilities
2.10 Reveal Unexpected Possibilities
Week 3: How to Write a Future Scenario
3.1 What’s a scenario?(video)06:13
3.2 Signals of change behind the scenarios
3.3 Are you ready for a world in which…?
Week 3: How to Create a Scenario
3.4 DEMO: Building a Scenario From Scratch(video)07:57
3.5 SCENARIO: The Future of Learning and Earning(video)07:09
3.6 Scenario: Learning is Earning
3.7 Learning is Earning: Map of the Future
Week 3: A Few More Scenarios to Play With
3.8 The importance of ridiculous ideas(video)01:38
3.9 A Few More Scenarios to Play With(video)06:20
3.10 Scenarios from the Future of Technology (the Ethical Operating System)
3.11 Are you ready for a world in which…? (Part 2)
3.12 The Future of Machines (3 Scenarios)
3.13 The Future of Machines
Week 3: Create Your Own Scenario
3.14 Create your own scenario
Week 4: How to Update Your Forecasts
4.1 10 Years Later… Is the Future Here Yet?(video)05:56
4.2 Updating a Forecast(video)06:35
4.3 Find a new signal about satellites!
Week 4: Forecasting the Year 2021, 10 Years Ago
4.4 Future of Money – A Forecast for 2021
4.5 Future of the Internet: A Forecast for 2021
4.6 Future of Households: A Forecast for 2021
4.7 Future of Social Media: A Forecast for 2021
4.8 How would you update these 2021 forecasts? Add a signal!
Week 4: Congratulations! You’re Ready to Forecast the Future!
4.9 What’s your biggest “a ha” moment from this course?
4.10 Congratulations on finishing this course!(video)01:55