Forecasting Skills: See the Future Before it Happens

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About Course

For many people, the future comes as a surprise – or even a shock. But with strong forecasting skills, YOU can avoid future shock. You can adapt faster, and become better prepared to benefit from change.

In this course, you’ll build your future forecasting skills. You’ll learn how to turn groups of “signals” (clues about the future) and “drivers” (global forces that influence the direction of change) into compelling future forecasts. Forecasts help you discover new possibilities and opportunities for yourself, your company, or any community you want to inspire to make a better future. You’ll also learn how to write future scenarios. Scenarios take forecasts one step further. They spark imagination and tell a story about what might happen if a forecast comes true. Scenarios help you evaluate: Is this a future I’m ready for? Is this a future I want? Leading futurists from the Institute for the Future will show you exactly how it’s done. They’ll share with you the forecasts and scenarios they’re most excited about right now, and walk you through the key steps they took to create them. Then, it’s your turn! You’ll create a forecast and a scenario on any future topic you choose. How will you benefit from taking this course? With strong forecasting skills, you’ll get better at seeing the future before it happens. You’ll be ready to consider possibilities that others never see coming or refuse to accept. You’ll be able to help others prepare for and adapt to the future. You can decide which futures you want to make more likely, and which futures you want to prevent. Many thanks to the Enlight Foundation and the Enlight Collaborative, which provided a grant to support the creation of this course.

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What Will You Learn?

  • Collect and Analyze SIGNALS OF CHANGE
  • Identify and Analyze GLOBAL DRIVERS OF CHANGE
  • Combine Signals and Drivers into FUTURE FORECASTS
  • Write SCENARIOS that tell a story about your FUTURE FORECAST

Course Content

Week 1: Introduction of Future Forecasting

  • 1.1 Welcome to the Course-survey about the future!
  • 1.2 Welcome the the course! Meet your professor Jane McGonigal(video)
  • 1.3 Strong Opinions, Lightly Held(video)
  • 1.4 Introduce yourself!
  • 1.5 Forecasting Skills Brief: Your

Week 1: What’s a Future Forecast?

Week 1: Drivers of Change

Week 1: Example of a Driver: Blockchain

Week 1: How to Make a Quick Forecast on any Topic

Week 2: How to Create a Future Forecast

Week 2: More Sample Forecasts

Week 2: How to Reveal Unexpected Possibilities

Week 3: How to Write a Future Scenario

Week 3: How to Create a Scenario

Week 3: A Few More Scenarios to Play With

Week 3: Create Your Own Scenario

Week 4: How to Update Your Forecasts

Week 4: Forecasting the Year 2021, 10 Years Ago

Week 4: Congratulations! You’re Ready to Forecast the Future!

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